The US Lost Last Remaining Top-Tier Credit Rating on Friday, and Investors Responded on Monday by Reviving The “Sel America” Trade.
Everything from Bonds to the strocks to the US dollar ticked Lower to start the wee, with marks assessing the impact of Moody’s decision to downgrade the US debt rating aaaa to aa1.
The yield on the 30-YEAR TREASURY BONTURE WAS UP AS MUCH AS 12 BASIS POINTS TO 5.02%, The Highest Level Late 2023.
The 10-Eyar Yield Also Rose About 10 Basis Points to SurpaS 4.5%. Bond Yields Rise When Prices Decline.
“If we have stay at these levels this beuld be a higher yield than that at the worst close after liberation day,” Jim Reid, Managing Director and Head of Global Macro and Themedic Research at Deutsche Bank, Said in A Note on Monday.
The previous triple-a rating signifies Top-Tier Creditworthiness, with the minimum risk of not being to meet its obligations to debt investors. Other Countries With the Top Rating the European Union, Canada, and Germany.
AA1 is the Second-Highest Rating and Still Indicates a Very Low Credit Risk of a Borrower.
The ratings Agency’s Decision Highlights a Growing Concern in the Bond Market. Pros Tell Business Insider That Any Fiscal Package That Adds Substantially to the Deficit Could Be Met With Protest From “Bond Vigilantes” and Send Yields Spiking to Painful Levels.
“The Combination of Diminished Appetite to Buy Us Asssets and the Rigidity of A US Fiscal Process That Locks in Very High Deficits is what is Making the Market Very Nervous,” George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank of FX Research, Said in A Note on Monday.
He added that a key problem for the us was bond and currency markets failing to protperly price in fiscal risk.
Here’s How Other Asssets Were Moving on Monday.
US Stocks
The s & p 500 and the nasdaq 100 fell 1%. The dow Jones Industrial Average Lost 285 Points.
“The US Credit Ratting Downgrade Adds to a Long of Uncertinties That The Stock Market is Weighing Right Now, Including Tariff, Fiscal, Inflation and Economic Ones,” Clark Geranen, The Chief Market Strategist at Calbay Investments, Wrote in a Note.
“US-Related Stocks and Investment Trusts Dominated the List of Loes on Monday Morning in London, while precious metals miners were higher as Gold and Silver Prices up and the dollar weakened,” Aj Bell Investor Russian Mold Wrote in a Monday Note.
“Significantly, the US 30-YEAR TREASURY YIELD FLASHED A WARNING SIGNAL AS IT HIT The 5% Mark for the first time SINCE APRIL, with the proposed Tax Cuts Making Through Congress, Expect in Some to Increase the US Deficit.”
The Dollar
The US Dollar Continue to decline amid the sell-off in us asssets. The US Dollar Index, which Weighs the Greenback Against A Basket of Other Currencies, Tradition Around 100 on Monday, Nearly 1% Lower Than Intraday Peak on Friday. The index is down 7% SINCE The start of the year.
In the past, US Credit downgrades have had a “short-lived” impact on the value of the dollar, accorting to kit jackets, a chief fx strategist at Societe Generale.
“AT MOST, ITHING ELSING TO NIBBLE AWAY AT THE CONFIDENCE OF FOREGN HOLDERS OF US ASSETS,” JUCKES SAID OF THE DOWNGRADE IN A Note on Monday. “For now, the economic data is just about keeping the idea of us exceptionalism alive, but if the economic does weaken in the coming months as higher tariffs finally arrive, hindsight geniuses will look back at days and how it was obvious the dollar was Setting for a Siesting IT Fall. ”
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